Group-2 Scenario
Group-2 Qualification Scenario
We are almost in the last moment of the most entertaining
T20 World Cup of all time. The mega event is now just one week to finish and
between this Sunday to next Sunday we will get our new World Champion. We have
got our two Semi-finalists from group-1 in form of New Zealand & England.
Now it’s time for teams from group-2, which will be
decided after tomorrow which is the last day of league stage in this
tournament. There are 3 matches to be played tomorrow, South Africa vs
Netherlands and Pakistan vs Bangladesh at Adelaide Cricket Ground, finally
India vs Zimbabwe at the MCG.
These three games will decide that which two teams
will qualify to the Semis from this group. With Netherlands already out of the
tournament and Zimbabwe having very low outside chance the fight is between top
4 teams- India, South Africa, Pakistan and Bangladesh. Let us see all the
scenarios for each and every team for qualifications.
The scenarios are given here without considering the
rain factor.
India
For Indian team it is pretty simple.
- ΓΌ
Netherlands
beat South Africa.
- ΓΌ
Bangladesh
beat Pakistan in close game.(If South Africa wins)
- ΓΌ
India
simply beat Zimbabwe
In case Zimbabwe win against India, still India can
make it to Semis provided 2nd results became true. But from above
all conditions 3rd one is most suitable. India just need to win the
game and they will finish at top in the group.
South Africa
It’s a do or die for South Africa
- ΓΌ South Africa beat Netherlands.
Their only chance to make into knockouts by beating
the Dutch. If they loss they will be out. As they will stay at 5 points and
India is already at 6. Pakistan and Bangladesh are both at 4 so, their match against
each other will be virtual Quarter Final. Whoever wins will reach at 6 and
hence South Africa will be out.
Pakistan
Pakistan is in a bit tricky situation.
- ΓΌ Netherlands win against South Africa.
- ΓΌ Pakistan beat Bangladesh.
- ΓΌ Zimbabwe beat India.(If South Africa wins)
If South Africa lose against the Dutch (Netherlands)
then Pakistan just needs to beat Bangladesh, in that case they will qualify.
India vs Zimbabwe result will don’t matter. If India lose to Zimbabwe then Pakistan
will finish at top in the group.
Bangladesh
For Bangla tigers, it is even more complex.
- ΓΌ Netherlands beat South Africa.
- ΓΌ Bangladesh beat Pakistan.(By huge margin if South
Africa wins)
- ΓΌ Zimbabwe win against India.(By huge margin)
Their case is very much similar to Pakistan. If
Netherlands upsets South Africa then Bangladesh just need a win against
Pakistan. But if that doesn’t happen then they need to beat Pakistan with a huge
margin and expect Zimbabwe to does the same with India. For beating the NRR of
India both wins have to be of huge margins.
We are not considering the case of Zimbabwe, though
they have still an outside chance. But that will be involving rains and
washouts, so as we have clearly not considered them in our scenarios, so we are
neglecting Zimbabwe factor. While Netherlands are already out of the tournament.
If everything goes well it is mostly anticipated that India & South Africa
will be entering into the Semis from group-2.
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